Showing posts with label private space business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label private space business. Show all posts

Friday, February 22, 2013

An Early Manned Mission to Mars in 2018?


On 27 February Dennis Tito, who paid his way to the ISS as a tourist back in 2001, will be announcing the plans of a new private space company, the Inspiration Mars Foundation.  The rumor mill has it that their purpose is to launch a manned expedition to Mars as early as January 2018. 

According to several sources, the mission would be a 501-day free-flying flyby (neither orbiting nor landing on Mars).  It would be lifted into space by a Falcon Heavy launch vehicle and with crew accommodation for two people in the form of a modified Dragon capsule, of recent ISS fame.  This scheme would incorporate ideas already put forward by SpaceX’s Elon Musk, who is a vocal advocate of both private space development and the exploration and eventual colonization of Mars.

The mission would be financed privately and would advance on a much more ambitious schedule than any governmental or intergovernmental project could reasonably expect to achieve.

For those who instinctively disbelieve the concept that private enterprise can provide access to space cheaper and on a larger scale than governmental entities can, a refresher course on SpaceShipTwo, the Bigelow inflatable space station module, the Dragon capsule, and the dozens of companies that have set their sights on providing low-cost private access to space would be in order.

This seems to be a typically American thrust, but in fact Canadian, European, and other companies are also engaged in these pursuits.  In fiction, the first manned mission to the Moon was envisioned by Jules Verne (De la Terre a la Lune; 1865) as being a private venture funded by rich American industrialists, building on Civil War military technology, and launched (fired!) from Florida by a giant gun.  In fact, strangely enough, the first technically plausible suggestion of how to get humans into space was in a novel, “Beyond the Planet Earth: In the Year 2000”, written by the pre-Soviet Russian visionary Konstantin Tsiolkovskii in 1916.  In it, the impetus for the development of manned spaceflight came from an international team of scientists and a group of private investors whom we would now call venture capitalists.

Travel to Mars (“Barsoom”) was a standard theme of the writings of Edgar Rice Burroughs.  Percy Gregg’s novel “Across the Zodiac” (1880) recounts a visit to Mars.  Another early tale of interplanetary travel, like Tsiolkovskii’s novel also set in the year 2000,  was “A Journey in Other Worlds”, authored in 1894 by John Jacob Astor IV.  These and many other books, such as E. E. “Doc” Smith’s novels, generally attribute space travel ventures to innovators and private individual, not governments.

Perhaps Dennis Tito’s announcement will bring that spirit of non-governmental initiative not just into space, but all the way to Mars.

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Can We Afford to Go into Space?

John S. Lewis
addresses fan question:

In the Present Economy, can we afford Space? 

      Space is not a government program; it’s the rest of the Universe.  Private space business is now a major factor, bent on finding investors interested in generating profits by making space more accessible to more people.  Space business pays taxes to governments; it does not consume tax revenues.  Further, space business can offer launch services to government agencies at highly competitive rates, thus saving taxpayer dollars.  How can they do this, competing with government-funded boosters with a 50-year track record?  Simple: governments have no incentive to cut costs.  Traditional aerospace industry giants have a huge vested interest in boosters that were developed to military and NASA standards, among which economy was not even an issue.  But innovative, competitive companies such as XCOR Aerospace and Mojave Aerospace, without such baggage (and overhead) can drive costs down dramatically.  This is a proven principle: notice that we are no longer buying IBM PCs with 64 k of RAM for $5000 a unit. 


      Even more important in the long view, space is a literally astronomical reservoir of material and energy resources.  The profit potential of even a single such resource, such as solar power collectors in space beaming microwave power to Earth, is in the trillions of dollars.  What would it be worth to the world to reduce fossil fuel consumption by a factor of 20 or 100 while lowering energy costs?  Can we afford to continue pretending that Earth is a closed system, doomed to eke out finite resources into a cold, dark future?
   
      Can we afford space?  Wrong question.  Can businesses afford space?  Yes.  We get to reap the benefits of their innovative ideas and free competition without footing the bill.